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FREE STOCK PROFILE - Starcore Intl. Ventures;
Supplementary
Starcore Intl. Ventures Profile Update:
Feb. 5/07:
Starcore announces on Feb. 2/07 that it has
completed the acquisition of the San Martin Mine.It should also be noted that the
various shares being issued to pay for the San Martin Mine
acquisition are restricted from trading for several
months;
- 4,729,000 common shares issued to
Goldcorp's
subsidiary are subject to a
hold period expiring June 1, 2007.
- A total of 22,173,200 of
the common shares are subject to
a hold period
expiring May 19, 2007.
- The loan warrants and any warrant
shares issued upon exercise of the loan warrants are
subject to a four-month hold
period expiring June 1, 2007.
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The Main Body of Starcore Profile (below) Was Mostly Last Updated on
approx. Jan. 5/07;
Starcore
International Ventures Ltd. is a Canadian Precious
Metals company... it's head
office is located in
Vancouver, Canada... shares of the
company trade on the
Toronto Venture Exchange under the symbol
"SAM"
(Yahoo
Finance Quote: SAM.V)
Starcore
is a Precious Metals exploration company that is on the
verge of moving from "explorer status" to "producer status".
The key event in
Starcore's
history that may soon transition it from "explorer status" to
"producer status" in the very near future is;
On March 16, 2006 Starcore announced it had obtained an
agreement to acquire the producing Gold and Silver mine known as
the "San Martin Mine" located in Mexico... however,
the acquisition of the San Martin mine was supposed to complete
later in 2006 (Nov. 24/06) but it was delayed... currently,
the San Martin Mine acquisition is scheduled to complete on or
before Jan. 24, 2007... the company hints the delay has been
due mostly to paperwork issues, however, I think the delay might have
been related to complications resulting from the big consolidation in Precious Metals prices
during mid/later 2006 (just speculation on my part)... regardless,
the amended completion date of Jan. 24, 2007 is now rapidly
approaching... so, should the company finally complete the
pending acquisition, the company will quickly move from
"explorer status" to "producer status" as the San Martin Mine is
already an operating mine with a 10+ year history of true production.
As I've indicated in some of my other stock
profiles... only approx. 1 in 1,000 exploration projects are
proven to be feasible enough to eventually make it to
production... so, a movement from "explorer" to "producer" is a
very major accomplishment for any emerging Precious Metals
company...
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The
Odds are Heavily Against Exploration Companies |

Only approx. 1 in 1,000 exploration
projects make it to production.
Chart Source: Eric Hommelberg & Partners at
Golddrivers.com |
Given a recent announcement by Starcore regarding financing for
the acquisition, as well as the current healthy state of
Precious Metal prices, and the strong supply/demand fundamentals
of Gold/Silver, I think the chances of the
San Martin Mine acquisition being closed on Jan 24/07 are
currently better than 75%... my current sense is the
Reward-to-Risk ratio right now on
Starcore
is very favorable.
The San Martin mine currently produces
approx. 35,000 Gold oz's and 350,000 Silver oz's per year...
the San Martin Mine also has a approx. 1,000 ton-per-day mill, and there
exists the potential to increase Gold production by approx. 25%
- 30% from current levels.
The San Martin Mine is currently owned and
operated by a Mexican subsidiary of
Goldcorp Inc.
... Goldcorp
Inc. itself is currently one of the largest Gold mining
companies in the world.
If the acquisition completes,
Starcore
will have some Silver hedging obligations to fulfill to
Silver
Wheaton Corp....
Silver Wheaton Corp. is majority owned by Goldcorp Inc. ...
the acquisition of the San Martin mine includes the Silver
hedging obligation that
Goldcorp
currently has with
Silver
Wheaton Corp. via the San Martin mine ... however, after
analyzing the Silver hedging obligation, you'll see it is not
very onerous, this is because the vast majority of revenue
generated by the San Martin Mine (approx. 80+%) is derived from
Gold production... the Silver hedging program means a sacrifice
of approx. 12% of potential revenue if the Silver hedging
program wasn't in place and valued at current Precious Metals prices.
At this point, you might be wondering: (#1.)
why would
Goldcorp sell the San Martin Mine if the mine was any
good?... and (#2.) is there something wrong with the San Martin
Mine?;
Firstly, the San Martin Mine is to small to
raise the production/growth profile of
Goldcorp...
over the past few years,
Goldcorp
has simply grown to large for a smaller mine like San Martin to
have any significantly measurable impact to
Goldcorp's
revenue or growth profile.
My answers/guesses specifically to #1 and #2 above are:
(#1.) I roughly
calculate, by selling the San Martin Mine via the way the deal
is structured, that
Goldcorp
will be able to substantially grow it's nominal net equity in
it's San Martin assets in 2 - 3 years (with little work,
costs, or risks) vs. a time-frame that would otherwise take
Goldcorp
at least 5 - 6 years of directly mining San Martin (via their
subsidiary) to grow their net equity to similar levels that the
mine sale method achieves in approx. 1/2 the time... also, if
Goldcorp
remained the mine operator, it would remain fully exposed
to all the risks, work, and costs associated with running the
mine.
(#2.) to my
knowledge, there is nothing major wrong with the San Martin
mining infrastructure, other than the relatively normal mining
issues experienced in the avg. mine.
So, by selling San Martin to
Starcore;
Goldcorp
essentially receives a nice lump sum cash payment in the
short-term, in addition to being able to leverage the
millions of Starcore shares
Goldcorp
will acquire via the deal to the cash-flow value that San Martin generates...
from a mathematical (and investment) point of view, it's
far more beneficial for
Goldcorp
to leverage
Starcores shares to the San Martin mine cash-flow as opposed
to it's own
Goldcorp shares because;
Goldcorp
has simply grown too large for it's
Goldcorp shares to meaningly
benefit from the cash-flow value San Martin generates...
however, because
Starcore
is so small,
Starcore shares should benefit nicely from the
cash-flow and existing assets of the San Martin Mine... should the
deal complete,
Goldcorp
will acquire several million
Starcore
shares.
According to the TSX web site, Starcore has approx. 15.3
million shares currently outstanding, however, it is my
understanding the number of outstanding shares will increase to
approx. 60 million (although that number could be higher) should the San Martin mine acquisition
complete (the increase in shares largely being used to pay for
the acquisition of mine)... it is also my understanding the
increased shares (or a portion of them) will be restricted from
trading for several months following the completion of the
acquisition (should it complete).
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