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STOCK PROFILE -
TVI Pacific
Inc.
- Last updated Jan. 4/07;
TVI Pacific
Inc. is a Canadian Gold mining company... it's head
office is located in
Calgary, Alberta, Canada... shares of the
company trade on the
Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol
"TVI"...
(Yahoo.com Finance Quote: "TVI.TO").
TVI is a real "producing" Junior Gold mining company... the
company is not merely just a "exploration" or "development"
company... and this is a very important distinction to make, because
statistically; less than 1 in 1,000 mining exploration projects
ever make it to the true "production" stage... "exploration
companies" face very slim odds in ever becoming a "true
producer", and a mining exploration company that cannot
eventually make it to production, a merger, or a buy-out,
eventually faces dilution, bankruptcy, dormancy,
re-organization, or similar value-destroying fates.
So, not only is TVI a real Gold producer, the
company is also entering a very strong period of growth within
the companys history, IE: From a press release on May 10/06
TVI reported 171% revenue growth,
and from another press release on Aug. 9/06
TVI reported 332% revenue growth, and from another press
release on Nov 6/06
TVI reported 203% revenue growth... so providing mngmt. can
continue to competently execute their business plan, combined
with
a general environment of rising Precious Metals prices,
TVI's shares could produce healthy rates of return over the next 12
- 24 months from current share price levels.
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Some pictures of TVI's mining operations...
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TVI also owns it's own Drilling Company
(actually it owns 2 Drilling Companys; one in China, and one in
the Philippines)... these Drilling Companies provide additional
and diversified cash-flow
for the company and also help alleviate drilling risks
associated with the very tight world-wide supply of available drilling rigs.
TVI's growth pattern is not without some risk
however... the majority of the companys revenue is generated in
the
Philippines... and as most people know, every once in a
while the Philippine Govt. seems just a step or 2 away from
another coup attempt, or some other structural change... however,
"country risk" with the
Philippines is a different type of
"country risk" than is
typically associated with South American countries like
Venezuela or Bolivia, where in South America, the entire
ideology of a Govt. can be at high risk of quick, sudden, and
radical changes... so while the stability/structure of the Philippine
Govt. may at times look risky, the underlying business ideology of
whichever Philippine Govt. comes to power, I'd argue; is at much
less risk of a quick, sudden, and radical change to business
ideology than compared to certain South American countries.
Natural resource companies in the Philippines
have a history of being particularly vulnerable to various risks
within the Philippines... in fact, the Philippine mining
industry only just within the last 1 - 2 years was brushed by an
increase in political risk, of which a consensus seems to have
been reached and is holding. And a new risk to Philippine
companies has been the recent increase in Hurricane activity, in
fact, one of TVI's partners has recently had to temporarily halt
it's mining operations due to damage from the most recent
hurricane.
TVI has possible prospective land positions in China...
which the company indicates are still in the early stages of potential exploration...
the company seems to have put forth considerable effort in China
over the past approx. couple years, and if ever leading to
successful precious metals production, could add significant
future value to the company, as producing Chinese mining assets
receive much higher valuation multiples than Philippine mining
assets... however, there seems to be a high degree of risk
associated with whether TVI will eventually be able to convert
their China efforts into shareholder value of any measurable
level in the future, in fact, TVI has experienced on-going
permitting delays in regards to their China work (excluding
their Chinese Drilling company work).
Regardless,
country risk already looks deeply priced
into TVI's stock, as the stock of a comparable purely Canadian
or Chinese Gold mining company with operations located exclusively in
Canada or China with assets and growth the same/similar to TVI, would
trade at much higher multiples and valuations, IMO... in other
words, if TVI had it's entire operations located exclusively in
Canada or China instead of the Philippines, and was generating all the
exact same revenues & expenses, the company would be valued at
much higher levels than present IMO... and a quick look at the
Price-to-Sales Ratio on a good
selection of Precious Metals companys seems to prove my
observation...
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Gold Mining Company
Price-to-Sales Ratio's - updated Jan. 4/07 |
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... you can see through a broad measurement of Price-to-Sales Ratio's in the Gold
industry that it averages approx.
12.14 ... the
Price-to-Sales Ratio of TVI right
now is under 2 (based
upon 12 months forward sales of monthly Q3-2006 revenue)... in
my opinion, TVI's low Price-to-Sales Ratio
is likely the result of 2 different discounting factors;
(#1)
nearly all of TVI's revenue is generated in the
higher risk
country of the Philippines.
(#2) TVI not being able prove any tangible
success in their pursuit of their own Chinese mining efforts (excluding
TVI's Chinese Drilling subsidiary company). Permitting risk
for any foreign mining company trying to operate in China is
very high... often resulting in lengthy permitting delays.
In conclusion, I believe that until TVI
starts proving some serious/tangible success in diversifying it's
own mining business outside of the Philippines and into
China, I believe TVI will continue to under-perform the sector
in relation to the industry average
Price-to-Sales Ratio valuation... that being said, TVI is generating strong revenue growth from it's Philippine
operations, and TVI may still outperform many mining companies
(particularly compared to average mining exploration co's without
secure revenue streams)
solely due to TVI's internal growth multipliers.
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of any type for doing a profile on TVI Pacific Inc. The Publisher
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